Tadej Pogačar riding a Colnago during his Strade Bianche recon

The Pogačar effect: what does a bike brand get out of sponsoring the world's best rider?

We ask Colnago how much of its recent financial success is down to Tadej Pogačar and investigate whether Scott might be about to experience a similar 'Pidcock effect'... do bike brands get a decent return on investment out of the millions of dollars they spend on racing in the WorldTour?

Photos: James Startt and SWPix Words: Simon Smythe

In 2024, Colnago announced that its turnover had tripled in the three years since Abu Dhabi-based investors bought the company from founder Ernesto Colnago in 2020. In a press release, the brand revealed that its turnover for 2023 was €55 million ($60 million), citing as a reason not only its “clear positioning at the top of the drop-bar segment of the cycling market” but also “the opportunity to have two great teams in the WorldTour, both male and female … UAE Team Emirates and UAE Team ADQ raises the level of demand and stimulates us daily to improve our product.” For 2025 the brand has a target of €72 million but, according to Colnago CEO Nicola Rosin, a figure of €75 million is possible.

Exactly how much does having a team in the WorldTour raise demand for a brand’s bikes – and does having a champion like Tadej Pogačar on board raise demand even more? Is it even possible to track it?

As many commentators pointed out when Colnago released the news of its performance, it appeared to be bucking the trend in the bike industry, which is still struggling with the post-Covid crash that has seen most of the biggest players, including Shimano and Giant, report decreases. However, there’s an argument that Colnago’s pre-Abu Dhabi takeover turnover at $20 million was poor for a brand with such history and heritage, and that it should be turning over $100-150 million like rival WorldTour brands such as Pinarello, which was valued at $270 when owners L. Catterton sold the brand to billionaire Ivan Glasenberg in 2023.

While it’s not in doubt that Colnago is now in the Premier League of bicycle brands under its new UAE owners, how much of it is down to the Pogačar effect? If the 26-year-old Slovenian, who won Colnago’s first ever Tour de France in 2020, repeated it in 2021 and in 2024 achieved the ‘triple crown’ winning the Giro, Tour and World Championship  wasn’t on Colnago’s bikes, would the bank balance look as healthy?

Rosin told Rouleur: “We defined a very clear mission and strategy,” referring to the restructuring of Colnago which took place after the 2020 takeover. Rosin himself was appointed CEO in 2021. “We are a company that decided to stay focused and vertical on a specific segment of bike: drop bar bicycles. I think this clear positioning is an ingredient of our success. We wanted to be the most desirable brand in cycling and we worked in this direction. I believe that now we are in a very good position on that.”

Rosin additionally attributes Colnago’s success to its new management team: "We created a great group of professional managers, with an excellent marketing and product marketing understanding.” And of the sponsored teams themselves: “We have two great teams: UAE Emirates and UAE ADQ. They are fundamental because of the visibility and to prove that products are top-athlete tested.” And Pogačar? “Of course, Tadej is another great ingredient of the success. He is an amazing personality, and he is winning but the equation is not so simple. You might have a great winning athlete but struggling with sales. So to summarise, I think you can understand that our success is a mix of different ingredients.”

Lance Armstrong at the 2001 Tour de France

The biggest and most obvious example of a Tour de France winner raising a brand’s profile – and turnover – is of course when Trek sponsored Lance Armstrong and US Postal Service. Armstrong became the first American to win the Tour for an American team on an American bike. We now know the full story about his win – more commonly written ‘win’ – but the seven Tours de France between 1999 and 2005 were a golden era for Trek. The brand reportedly saw its support of Armstrong initially as a human interest story: he was a former world champion recovering from testicular cancer and attempting, at the time against the odds, to come back to the top level of professional cycling. But later, according to Forbes, a Trek spokesperson compared the brand’s deal with Armstrong to “like putting a penny in a slot machine and having a million dollars pour out”. The Chicago Tribune reported that Trek’s turnover was $18 million pre-Armstrong, growing to about $400 million in 2002, $800 million by 2010 and reaching over a billion. Trek cut its ties with Armstrong in 2012 after he received a lifetime ban from the US Anti-Doping Agency which was upheld by the UCI and it was 2013 when he confessed to Oprah Winfrey that he had doped for all seven of his Tour wins.

So is Colnago’s Rosin playing down the Pogačar effect? What happens to a leading bike brand if it doesn’t sponsor a top cycling team with a Tour de France winner? Andrew Juskaitis is the global marketing manager for Giant, the world’s largest bicycle brand. Giant sells bikes for every type of cycling with sales “knocking on $3 billion including our manufacturing” [Giant makes bikes in its own factories for other brands]. So how important is it for Giant to have a team in the WorldTour and a Tour-winning rider? Jayco-Alula men's team ride Giant bikes while the women's team ride Liv, Giant's sister brand. “Sponsoring WorldTour teams is something we’ve done since 1996 – we launched the Giant TCR 28 years ago – and we’ve done it for two reasons. We truly do get positive feedback – or negative – from the team in developing what we consider to be world-class top-level racing bikes. The second thing is visibility and significance in the marketplace. In 2021, we skipped a year of sponsorship. The contracts didn’t come through in time, it had been very difficult during the pandemic and these contracts come down to the last minute, cents, dollars. But the one year when we were not involved in the WorldTour it directly affected our sales. So to answer your question succinctly, we cannot not sponsor a WorldTour team.”

Juskaitis warned at the outset that he would not be able to discuss actual figures, but it’s common knowledge that bike brands spend around $5 million on WorldTour team sponsorship. “It is very expensive,” agrees Juskaitis. “In terms of our total marketing budget it is a significant portion of it. It’s not F1 but in the bicycle world it’s as expensive as it gets. But we cannot sell the TCR certainly in Europe without having WorldTour team representation of that product. I can’t comment on the percentage slip in sales [in 2021] but I can say that that significance primarily comes from Europe.”

A Jayco-Alula Giant Propel team bike

Does it make a difference to Giant whether it has a Tour de France winner? The brand hasn’t yet won the GC at the Tour, although it has won green and polka dot jerseys and the 2017 Giro d’Italia. “Number one it’s showing up to the start line. It can help to be at the top. When we won the Giro with Tom Dumoulin we saw a slight spike. But long term and big money, we have to be at the start line of the Grand Tours and fighting. If you’re not, it says you’re not being taken seriously. I can’t overstate it. It seems like an obvious thing but it’s not.”

Furthermore, says Juskaitis, “We also spend significant amounts on the mountain bike side of things and we can have arguments all day long about whether there’s any sort of return on investment in that. We like to think so, we like to try to win races on mountain bikes, but we have to justify that all the time to our higher-ups and it’s debatable. Even though sponsoring a WorldTour team on the road is the most expensive part of our marketing budget there’s no valid argument to quit it. We have to do it.”

Next we asked Scott whether it expected a difference to sales with an individual star like Tom Pidcock riding Scott bikes rather than 'just' the Q36.5 team?

"Yes," says Julian Wagner, bike marketing lead at Scott. "Tom joining the team is still fresh, so it is difficult to correlate a sales boom to this, but we have noticed a large influx in coverage, presence, social performance etc since he joined. The team I'm sure is experiencing a similar level of popularity increase, which is great for everyone involved. It's a bit late to see an impact on sales and orders for this year at a company level [as they were placed way before he joined] but we expect to see a knock-on effect next year. Sales at a dealer level have certainly felt the immediate impact. What’s clear is that having a talismanic athlete long term most certainly does influence sales, and the brand."

Tom Pidcock ahead of Tadej Pogačar at Strade Bianche 2025

Does Scott notice an actual uptick when Scott-sponsored athletes are winning? Or, as Giant's Juskaitis says, is the most important thing to be on the start line of a WorldTour race? "Definitely. It is important to show up, but it's more important to show up with impact – my favourite term! Impact rears its head in several ways, not just through winning, and it is a key metric when evaluating a sports marketing deal. If we do this, what impact is guaranteed? What impact is expected? While it's true that winning isn't everything, it certainly has a great impact. A fantastic example dates back to our Orica GreenEDGE days. Their YouTube series Backstage Pass was super successful. Why? Because it offered a behind-the-scenes look to the public that we weren’t used to seeing. The content was great, the access was great, it was a huge success. When the team was successful, though, the impact was even greater, the content went further, and this elevated the popularity of the series (and the team) as whole."

And finally, w ho does Wagner consider to have been the most valuable rider of any discipline to have been sponsored by Scott? Is Mark Cavendish up there? Nino Schurter? Mat Hayman with his Paris-Roubaix win on the Foil? Is there an iconic race victory that he thinks raised Scott's profile and made more people buy Scott bikes?

"So, in my time at the company, roughly 13 years, no doubt the most impactful athlete perhaps across all cycling disciplines has been Nino. This is down to longevity, backing up the success year after year, allowing us to push for more and more innovation with the confidence that with his input it would work – he's been more than an athlete, but in a sense an honorary employee, especially in terms of global impact. But we have a long history of greats who have been part of the Scott family over the years on the road as well. You mentioned Mark Cavendish, he had incredible years on Scott. Mat Hayman’s Roubaix win made the office walls shake – it was huge, and not only for us but for the world of cycling. It was a classic good-guy story that we’ll never forget. Then of course monument wins with Simon Gerrans, Matt Goss, world titles with Annemiek [van Vleuten], Tour de France yellow with Lorena Wiebes and Charlotte Kool, and countless others. We’ve been on a good run for decades, long may it continue."

From the large and long-established bicycle brand to professional cycling's newest name, Factor was just nine months old when it sponsored AG2R in 2017. It now sponsors Israel-Premier Tech. How has racing in the WorldTour worked out for Factor? Owner Rob Gitelis says: “We were pretty lucky with AG2R, we finished third at the Tour de France [with Romain Bardet] in the first nine months of being a bicycle company and then the following year second at Paris-Roubaix [with Silvan Dillier]. You'd think our company was too young at the time to see that effect, but obviously we’re only an eight-year-old company now and if we look at where we are now compared to every other brand that launched 8-10 years ago we’re way ahead of the curve and it probably relates to taking that very big risk of sponsoring AG2R.”

Is Gitelis willing to estimate how much sponsoring Israel-Premier Tech is worth to Factor? “It’s really difficult to put a clear ROI on what you get out of sponsorship. But what I can tell you is that we took a break between AG2R and Israel-Premier Tech just because we were at a place in our company’s growth where we had to take that little break and we sponsored Roompot. Ironically Wout van Aert was supposed to be there but he wasn’t. And we saw an immediate drop-off in our sales by not being in the WorldTour that year.”

Gitelis says a marketing spend of 10 per cent of revenue is the sweetspot. How much of that goes on team sponsorship? “On our two teams (Israel-Premier Tech and Human Powered Health) it’s by far the biggest part and it probably represents 70-75% of the total marketing spend.”

Perhaps it seems obvious that if a product is ridden by a famous racer then it’s likely to give the brand more racing credibility, but there’s more to it than that, says Gitelis. “We currently sell bikes in 52 different countries. There’s no other single marketing exercise that you can do that would reach all 52 of those countries. If you were to look at how much work it would take to go and do individual marketing in all 52 countries it would be an almost impossible feat, but by sponsoring a cycling  team you’re basically touching every one of those countries."

Stevie Williams wins Flèche Wallonne 2024

Does Gitelis agree with Giant’s Andrew Juskaitis that it’s being on the start line at the WorldTour that matters and being on top of the podium or having a famous rider like Pogačar just creates temporary spikes in sales? “It’s hard to say because obviously selling a bike can be many months down the road, but we do see significant website traffic increases. Obviously when Stevie Willliams won Flèche Wallonne in 2024 we saw a big spike in website traffic, so in many ways that’s a direct ROI. So I think having a famous bicycle racer does not move the needle. My answer would be winning bike races moves the needle. So the more hits you can get from consistently winning bike races, everyone is talking about your brand. Unfortunately in our sport at the moment it feels like there’s four or five guys who are winning everything, so if you’re not with one of those four or five guys then it’s a bit more like ‘play your luck’. We were super lucky that we launched the Ostro VAM and then Stevie Williams won on it at the Tour Down Under and then Flèche Wallonne, so we’ve been very lucky to still be one of those brands that is highlighted from race wins.”

So Colnago’s recent success is not down to a notional Pogačar effect? “I don’t think it’s necessarily Pogačar but it’s the races he wins. We can look at Vingegaard. He wins one important race a year but he’s not winning all year. So in the month of July he’s the man, but if we look at the entire calendar it would be Van Aert, Van der Poel and Pogačar. And then Pogačar is an exciting bike racer so I think that doesn’t hurt.”

From Factor’s point of view the spend with Israel-Premier Tech is worthwhile and sustainable? “There’s the expense of sponsoring the team and the equipment, but then there’s the actual activation costs. A lot of the time you need to spend quite a bit letting everybody know you have the team and getting the maximum out of it. It’s always a really hard justification for a brand. We ask ourselves, are we with the right team, are we getting the most out of it, what would happen if we stopped, but what you really get is that credibility that you get for racing at the highest level. In the sport at the moment, there are very few brands that are smaller like Factor, I don’t want to call us niche, but standalone at that level. It’s us and Wilier that are the only ones left so it gets harder and harder.”

Cofidis Look team bikes

Look is the bike sponsor for Cofidis and pedal sponsor of Tadej Pogačar, who has an individual partnership with the French brand. Look has a very long history at the top level, supplying the original carbon frame, the KG86, to the La Vie Claire team in 1986 and also pioneering clipless pedals with Bernard Hinault riding them to Tour de France victory for the first time in 1985. Look’s sponsorship of Cofidis goes back to 2009 – though it hasn’t been continuous. So do we deduce that being in WorldTour is as essential to the French brand as it is to the others? Additionally, what’s more valuable – supplying bikes to Cofidis, who are among the smaller WorldTour teams, or supplying pedals to Pogačar?

Look’s product manager, Romain Simon, says: “Sponsorship is long term, so measuring the ROI on a daily basis is quite hard. Does a bike sell better if a WorldTour team is on it? The answer for a brand like us is obviously yes. But also it’s smart for us not to rely too much on it. It’s high-level sport and we’re bound for only three years each time, and we could potentially go down in the second category and the visibility for the brand would be less. So ultimately it’s part of our strategy in building a trophy brand around the bikes, but it’s not the only thing that makes our bikes sell. We’re trying to create other programmes for the 795 model [as ridden by Cofidis] to make sure we can sell it outside of racing and inspire a community.”

Earlier, Simon had been frank about Cofidis’s status in the WorldTour: “They don’t get the chance to win every week”. What if they did win every week – would that make a difference? “It would be a bigger pipe in and a bigger pipe out. Meaning if we were to commit that much to the WorldTour we have to be able to provide the markets with the products, the density, the quantities and remain at the same level of quality. So we dream of it, but the reality is that if we were to be with a bigger team we would have to spend more on every aspect, so actually we’re happy with the dimensions of the team. It suits us, it’s a team that matches our philosophy perfectly. It’s not a team that wins every week, but every time we win it has 10 times the importance it has for Ineos and the biggest teams. When we win, we really feel the work done, the achievement, the sensation of having worked towards a common goal with the team. It’s the underdog position – people like following the underdog. It’s cool that everybody identifies with that, and that’s who we are.”

Where do Look’s pedals fit in? “The pedals is something different,” confirms Simon. “In terms of turnover, the pedals lead the economics of the company. We are such a big brand in the pedal world that ultimately the volumes are doing the job, and also because we have a structure of our revenue on the pedals… it’s where we get the best numbers. On the bikes it’s the smallest part of our activity. The turnover is decent but the bike is another structure of cost.”

Is it as important for Look to have WorldTour teams riding the pedals as it is riding the bikes? “In terms of image it’s not comparable. In terms of product development and impact on the highest level of product it’s comparable, but the WorldTour is a big circus and it’s all about images and clearly the bikes are carrying that part. The pedals will be more efficient on the economics side and we have the bikes to carry the image.”

Clearly both the bike industry and the world have moved on since Trek put a penny into the Armstrong slot machine and a million dollars came pouring out. It’s difficult to track the exact return on investment of WorldTour bike brand sponsorship – and brands don’t agree on exactly what it is about being in the WorldTour that sells bikes. However, they do agree that in the 2020s it takes more than just having an individual winner like Pogačar on your bikes, no matter how exciting and charismatic. As Nicola Rosin says, Colnago’s success is a mix of different ingredients but one thing is clear: whether you’re the biggest bike brand or the smallest, the oldest or the newest, you need to be in the WorldTour.

Simon Smythe staff banner
Photos: James Startt and SWPix Words: Simon Smythe

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